Big Game Hangover Cure – $10K Pull Up Jumper [$2K to 1st]

Welp the big game is over and we are just 5 weeks away from March Madness. Baylor and Gonzaga (on tonight’s slate) are having very “Chief-Like” regular seasons. The world champion Buccaneers got hot and won their last 8 games before dominating the Super Bowl last night. Who in CBB is this year’s Tampa Bay? Is there one?

Tonight our slate features a nice 6-pack of games with action consistently tipping off between 6-10pm. The Zags travel to BYU to end the evening, but the action starts with some P12 heat and an ACC clash. In between Minnesota-Nebraska tips at 7:00 which is a sneaky good DFS game, while the two 8:00 tips feature over/unders around 140.

No better way to start a new week than with $2,000 in your pocket! Everything you need is below so dive in to the text and win all the money Bucketheads! #CBBDFS


Colorado -12.5, (138) – 6:00

Oregon State @ Colorado

Colorado is a double-digit home favorite with the lowest over/under on the slate. The Beavers are 325th in tempo, led by Ethan Thompson’s (G, 7700) 26% shot share and solid assist rates. His price is creeping back up and low over/under, so more of a 4x option. Warith Alatishe (F, 7200) is top 10 in Pac-12 in offensive and defensive rebounding, blocks, and steals. He’s a boom or bust tourney option only. Jarod Lucas (G, 5200) is a scoring specialist whose price has dropped some, but Colorado does limit 3s so another tourney option only.
 
McKinley Wright (G, 7800) continues to be a cash game staple given his high floor, sitting right around 30 DK almost every game. Evan Battey (F, 5900) got banged up last game, but should play and has been really solid recently, scoring 24 DK in 5 of last 5. His price is creeping up, but with Jabari Walker out he’s a solid 4x target. I’d rather find the $200 for Battey than Jeriah Horne (F, 5700), but if Battey doesn’t play Horne becomes an excellent value play. D’Shawn Schwartz (G/F, 5100) is a bit of a maddening DFS player, as he’s shown upside in the past but is wildly inconsistent. At least his price is low. Eli Parquet (G, 4500) has miniscule usage, but plays a lot of minutes and has 4x in back-to-back.

Colorado -12.5, (138) – 6:00
Ohio State – 4, (138.5) – 8:00

#4 Ohio State @ Maryland

Feels like I’ve written this game up 12 times already, but this is really the first time these teams have met this season. The Buckeyes have been on a heater, winning their last 4. EJ Liddell (F, 7800) should be able to eat tonight. He’ll have a matchup advantage in the post and on the boards. The last 3 games for Justice Sueing (G/F, 7600) have gone 7x/5x/6x. He’s up $900 but still viable in a great matchup. Duane Washington (G, 6900) is still shot-dependent but matchup is good as Maryland gives up 35% from 3. Kyle Young (F, 5600) had 5x in 32 mins against Iowa. You can look at CJ Walker (G, 5500) in cash games.
 
Aaron Wiggins (G/F, 7300) coming off a miserable performance against Penn St, 18 DK on 1-11 shooting. This matchup isn’t much better and not much price relief. Donta Scott (F, 7000) is priced fairly and should be fine in cash games. Eric Ayala (G, 7000) is near max price after averaging 5x in 3 of last 4. Matchup is obviously bad but he’s worth a shot due to recent form. The only other Terrapin that is roster-able is Darrel Morsell (G, 5700) but I wouldn’t bend over backwards.

Ohio State – 4, (138.5) – 8:00
UNC -10, (141) – 6:00

Miami @ North Carolina

Miami heads to North Carolina tonight. With UNC coming off a victory over rival Duke, is this a letdown spot? Miami gave Virginia Tech all it could handle in their last game, despite being shorthanded and playing just 7 guys. Chris Lykes (G, 5900) is still due back any day, so we’ll monitor his status. In his absence the team has run through Isaiah Wong (G, 7900) with backcourt mates Kameron McGusty (G, 6500) and Elijah Olaniyi (G/F, 6300) helping with the scoring load. Nysier Brooks (F, 4900) had a double-double last time out, but he and Anthony Walker (F, 5400) will have their hands full with UNC’s massive front line. That opposing size could also mean more minutes for Den Gak (F, 3500) if you need a cheap punt. 

Bacot (6700), Brooks (6600), and Sharpe (6000) are the massive front line forwards I was referring to. Each are capable of smashing a slate and are priced to do so. Bacot is eating now with around 5x in 4/5. Brooks is probably the safest play of the group and Sharpe is analytically the best rebounder on the slate. Caleb Love (G, 6800) seems to have found his shooting stroke. He has taken at least 10 shots in 7 straight and some are actually going down. While he has found his way fellow freshman RJ Davis (G, 3800) continues to be phased out if he gets 20+ minutes he’d be a GPP deep cut. Leaky Black (G/F, 5300) is a cash option. 

UNC -10, (141) – 6:00
Kansas -5, (141) – 8:00

#23 Oklahoma State @ Kansas

In 122 Big 12 home and home series, Self has 82 sweeps, 39 splits, and has been swept once…by Oklahoma St. in 2018. The Cowboys will look to repeat history tonight in the Phog. Cade Cunningham (G, 8100) was horribly inefficient against Texas, but still exceeded 4x. He’s priced to play again tonight against a KU team he had 35 DK against earlier this year. We’ll have to monitor Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe’s (F, 6800) status, as he missed last game. Kalib Boone (F, 6500) continues to shine of late, dropping a 50-burger against Texas. He’s smashed in 4 of his last 5 and although his foul issues scare the crap out of me, he has to be strongly considered in tourneys. Issac Likekele (G/F, 6000) is priced way down and will play all the minutes. He had 30 DK against KU in the 1st matchup and KU isn’t afraid to turn the ball over. If Moncrieffe misses, that’s more PT for Avery Anderson III (G, 5400), Bryce Williams (G, 5000), and Rondel Walker (G, 5000). AA3 is coming off a double-double while Williams and Walker are more tourney options.
 
DraftKings did Jalen Wilson (F, 6900) no favors, pricing him back up after two good games in his last 3. Still hard to forget about his recent slump and only had 13 DK in the first matchup, but at least he got 40 minutes last game with double digit shot attempts and 14 boards. Marcus Garrett (G, 6600) should be a steady 4x option as a guy that can do everything for KU. Ochai Agbaji (G, 6200) has been way too scoring dependent of late, with rebounds and assist rates way down. He’s still their most consistent scorer and the price is great, but he’s gotta start getting involved in the ancillary stats. David McCormack (F, 6100) is priced to play in all formats. He had 49 DK in the first matchup vs. the Cowboys. Christian Braun (G, 6000) is coming off back-to-back 30 burgers, so form is great. He’s still a tourney option only given his volatility, but overall, the Jayhawks are priced well tonight in a pace up game.

Kansas -5, (141) – 8:00
Minnesota -11.5, (147.5) – 7:00

Nebraska @ Minnesota

Former Pitt Panther, Trey McGowens (G, 7500) is the price king for the Cornhuskers. He logged a couple 5x games before their nearly month-long covid break and had 27 DK vs Sparty. Just a so-so matchup at that price, so I’m likely looking elsewhere. Teddy Allen (G, 6700) might be a better GPP play with his gaudy 34% shot share. Terrible 1-10 vs MSU gave him a nice price breakDalano Banton (G/F, 7100) has some rebounding upside, as does Lat Mayen (F, 5100). Derrick Walker (F, 4300) is healthy and starting now. Shamiel Stevenson (G, 4000) has seen his minutes increase and can be used in GPP. Yvan Quedraogo (F, 3900) is seeing less time consequently, but may be used here for is offensive rebounding ability.
 
Marcus Carr (G, 8000) gets all the attention (rightly so), and while he’s certainly a solid GPP play tonight, I’m looking at Liam Robbins (F, 7500). This is a choice matchup for Robbins at home. We should see the scoring, rebounding and shot blocking all on full display. Brandon Johnson (F, 6400) is priced up but can still be considered in cash. Gabe Kalscheur (G, 4600) is shot dependent but wonderful matchup and great value play in tournaments. Tre Williams (G/F, 4000) and Jamal Mashburn Jr (G, 4200) are dart throws based on minute inconsistency.

Minnesota -11.5, (147.5) – 7:00
Gonzaga -11.5, (156) – 10:00

#1 Gonzaga @ BYU

The three highest priced players on the slate are all in this game and all play for the Zags. The pricing isn’t skewed though, as Gonzaga starters could see and extended run on the road against 15-4 BYU. Drew Timme (F, 8800) is the price king and should exploit the interior in this one. Jalen Suggs (G, 8400) and Corey Kispert (F, 8300) are playable in all formats and should work freely as BYU doesn’t force a ton of turnovers. To that end, guards Joel Ayayi (7400) and Aaron Nembhard (5600) have some GPP appeal. Both will play about 30 minutes tonight. Anton Watson (F, 5500) is the last Zag worth mentioning, but he has only exceed 4x once in his last 5. 

If BYU wants to make this a game both Alex Barcello (G, 7200) and Brandon Averette (G, 6400) will need to be knocking down shots. Opponents are shooting 34% from deep against the Zags, so there are good looks that can be had. After those two, BYU is 48th in bench minutes so it is hard to find options. Purdue transfer Matt Haarms (F, 5200) has GPP appeal, but won’t exceed 25 minutes. Caleb Lohner (F, 4500) will see similar time and had 22 DK the first time these two teams met. For the extra ballsy Gideon George (F, 4600) had 45.8 DK last game in 21 minutes. This was in a 55 point BYU win. The ole 10x is nice, but he is honestly a 10th man with a 29.1% shot rate when on the floor. 

Gonzaga -11.5, (156) – 10:00

Prize Picks – 2/8/21

Ochai Agbaji

Kansas

Homer alert, but I think my Jayhawks play with a chip on their shoulder in their first game as an unranked team since 2009. Agbaji averages 14 real points per game and in a pace up spot, so just needs to fall into a couple rebounds and steals to hit the OVER 23.0.

-Byrd

Drew Timme

Gonzaga

The Zags are scoring 93 points per game, and today the starters should get a couple extra minutes if this stays close. Should be a good spot for their most reliable scorer. Gimme Timme OVER 30.8.

– Joe

Garrison Brooks

North Carolina

Had 3 blocks and 2 steals against them earlier this season and easily covered 24.2 even in 25 mins. I expect better than 1-7 shooting and an easy OVER 24.2.

– James