Monday $12K Pull Up Jumper [3K to 1st]

With just three games on this slate and no over/unders exceeding 140, all players stand on equal footing as we look for the right plays tonight. Byrd, James, and Joe each break down a game and give their takes on top plays for both cash and GPP formats.

As the calendar hits February 1st, we are under 6-weeks until Selection Sunday. Business is about to really pick up over this last month of conference play. With a unique March Madness ahead this will be the last chance for teams like Memphis and Duke, teams on this slate, to make a late push to selection committee relevance.

Duke and Memphis fans trying to get the attention of the selection committee

Memphis -9, (133) – 7:00

Central Florida @ Memphis

UCF comes into this game losing 6-of-7 after impressive early season victories over Auburn, Florida State, and Cincinnati. Tonight they are -9 point dogs on the road against Memphis. This will be a pace up game for the Golden Knights giving a bump to lead guard Brandon Mahan (G, 7600). Mahan and Darius Perry (G, 5400) are the lone seniors on a young UCF team experiencing growing pains. Freshman Isaiah Adams (F, 6900) and sophomores Dre Fuller Jr. (G, 5900) and Darrin Green Jr. (G, 5200) have seen more time and flashed in separate games recently. The youth can be considered in GPP, while the vets are safer cash options. Another freshman, Jamille Reynolds (F, 3800) played 26 minutes last game and had 17-8. He could be a cheap target as he does carry a 27% usage rate when on the floor.

Memphis has popped up a lot recently so we are getting more familiar with them. DeAndre Williams (F, 7500) finally showed upside with 43 DK last game. Prior to that he was a reliable cash play. I this Williams is still priced to play today. Moussa Cisse (F, 6500) is priced down after a string of 5x games that was snapped at 3 last Thursday. Landers Nolley (G, 6200) remains their best scoring option and Alex Lomax (G, 5300) is 5x in 3-of-4. The rest of the Tigers are game flow and on-court performance dependent to get above 20 minutes. Many are capable of smashing, but playing them comes down to your risk tolerance.

Memphis -9, (133) – 7:00

Texas Tech -6.5, (136.5) – 8:00

#24 Oklahoma @ #10 Texas Tech

The Sooners are coming off one of the most impressive 3-game stretches in all of college basketball, beating KU, Texas, and Alabama. More impressive was the fact that they beat a Bama team without their best player Austin Reaves, who will be out again tonight along with Alondes Williams. De’Vion Harmon (G, 7100) has scored double figures in 5 straight. He’s looked truly fantastic lately, but his January heat caused a $1400 price increase as well. Elijah Harkless (G, 6000) is living at 4x lately despite a price increase as well. Umoja Gibson (G, 5100) was terrific against Bama and will continue to be a safe option with Reaves out. All 3 guards are in play, but their price increases hurt their ceiling a bit. Don’t look now, but Brady Manek (F, 4800) played a little better, especially down the stretch, vs. Bama. He’s still a risky play, but at least there’s signs of life finally. Jalen Hill (F, 4500) is a low usage player, but should be a lot of minutes. Tech is a top 15 defense and most Sooners are priced up, but we’ll still need some exposure on the 3-game slate.

The Mac McClung (G, 8100) show continued in Baton Rouge, as he hung another 22 real points on the Tigers, his 4^th game with at least 20 real points. He’s priced at a season high and OU’s defense has been good, but he’s still hit 4x at this price in 4 straight. As we mentioned on the YouTube video Saturday, Terrence Shannon (G, 7300) is the 2nd best scorer for Tech, but has more ancillary production than McClung. He’s shown tourney winning upside of late, including increased minutes. Kevin McCullar (G, 6900) is still priced up a bit despite a couple rough games, but he’s going to play 30+ minutes and generally has a high floor. Kyler Edwards (G/F, 5600) is still playing low 30s minutes per game, but his peripherals have fallen off a cliff of late. He’s at a season low price point, but recent production is scary. Marcus Santos-Silva (F, 5300) is a tourney option due to his capped minutes, but he does have around 4x in 5 of his last 7, so he’s producing while he’s on the court. Micah Peavy (G/F, 3500) is a talented freshman that will play 15 minutes and priced down, but he’s a very risky punt option that’s only hit 20 DK once this year.

Texas Tech -6.5, (136.5) – 8:00

Duke -11, (138) – 6:00

Duke @ Miami

Miami has the least efficient defense and shortest defensive possession length in the ACC. They also give up 41% from 3 and might only have 5 scholarship players available. That’s why like Matthew Hurt (F, 8200) to pay off his high price tag for once. DJ Steward (G, 6500) is firmly a GPP option, but matchup favors him. Brooks and Gak may make things tougher for Jalen Johnson (F, 8000) but hard not to bet on talent with him 5x/4x in last 2. Wendell Moore (F, 5500) showing signs of life with 4x vs Clemson, still hard to trust; good matchup but stick to tournaments. Same for Jordan Goldwire (G, 5500) and Jeremy Roach (G, 4500), although Roach has more appeal at his price.

First and foremost, keep an eye on Isaiah Wong (G, 7900). He sprained his ankle last game and is questionable. Play him if he can go, otherwise, spike Harlond Beverly (G, 5700) into your lineup, 5x last game in 34 mins. Regardless, Kam McGusty (G, 6700) should get all the minutes and shots he wants. Anthony Walker (F, 6000) is less appealing but playable in cash. Deng Gak (F, 4000) is seeing an increase in minutes at the 5 lately over Nysier Brooks (F, 4600), so could be a nice value on the small slate. That’s literally it, they’re out of players.

Duke -11, (138) – 6:00

Prize Picks – 1/29/21

Brandon Mahan

Central Florida

Mahan leads UCF in minutes and scoring. He brings rebounding upside for a guard and is getting paced up in this one. With slim pickings out there on PrizePicks today give me Mahan OVER 22.0.

– Joe

De’Vion Harmon

Oklahoma

With Reaves out for OU, Harmon will continue to carry the scoring burden, along with facilitating the offense and providing some steal upside. Give me the OVER 21.5.

-Byrd

Kameron McGusty

Miami

Duke perimeter D has been suspect all year. McGusty has 2 or more steals in last 3 games and playing 35 mpg. Even if Wong plays, this should be an easy OVER 20.5

– James