After back to back 8 games slates, we have a lighter menu this evening. We’ll continue to bring the DFS fire that has lead to a lot of Buckethead heat on the young season. Speaking of heat, shout out to DK user “dbaggot3” who won the main $10 DK tourney on back to back days. That’s hero pants stuff right there.
As for PrizePicks, a nice little 3-0 day yesterday. It only takes a couple undefeated days per week to be profitable, so we’ll try to keep those going. Also a good time to remind folks that it’s never a good idea to blindly follow someone’s picks. We try to give our rationale for why we like certain players, but ultimately it’s your money and you need to be comfortable with the selections you make. We’ll keep providing our opinions, but as always, trust your gut. And with that, it’s time to dive in and win all the money Bucketheads!!
11/18/21
| Game | Time | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| *OSU @ XAV | 5:30 | OSU -2.5 | 139.5 |
| MARQ @ MISS | 5:45 | MISS -4 | 135.5 |
| OU @ ECU | 6:00 | OU -13 | 135.5 |
| UAB @ SCAR | 6:00 | UAB -2.5 | 144 |
| *RU @ DPU | 7:30 | RU -1 | 135 |
GUARDS WE LIKE
Paul Scruggs, XAV (G, 9700) – Does it make sense to blow a fifth of your wad on Paul Scruggs? Look, I’m not an accountant, but here are a few reasons you might want to consider it: 1) 29% usage/31% shot share 2) 34% assist rate 3) 5% block/steal rate 4) 35 mpg 5) He’s been playing college basketball for 12 years, that’s a fact. Should be a close game, he’ll have the ball lots.
Ron Harper Jr, RU (G/F, 7800) – Should be a popular choice, as he’s sandwiched between Harkless and Wheeler in his pricing tier. Really nice start to the season, but if you’ve played him in previous seasons, you know he can be woefully inconsistent. Should be a tight game though and pacing favors him.
Quan Jackson, UAB (G/F, 7600) – I’ll include Jordan Walker (G, 7300) in here too, as this duo is the heart and soul of the UAB attack. Jackson is more of a stat stuffer while Walker is a points and assist guy. UAB is predicted to win C-USA so they are good, and so are these two.
Darryl Morsell, MARQ (G, 6900) – The Maryland transfer has been nothing short of fantastic for Shaka Smart scoring 20+ real points in all three games. He needs 27.6 DK to hit 4x at this price point and his low game this season is 29.5. He has 40DK upside so the ceiling is high, as well as his floor.
Geo Baker, RU (G, 6300) – Back in the day, you could get a Geo Tracker for $6300 irl. While we can’t fight inflation, we can point out value in the DFS market. Baker is playing 34 mpg, leading the team in assists, and shooting 39% from 3. He’s a proven closer so good spot for him in this one.
Tyler Kolek, MARQ (G, 5700) – If you are the type who like to play a hot hand, consider Kolek who was awesome against Illinois with 29.8 DK. He also played 37 minutes in that one, showing who Shaka trusts in the clutch. With this projected to be another tight game, Kolek can be considered a safe cash option tonight.
Tristen Newton, ECU (G, 5600) – Newton isn’t going to have another 50-burger like last game, but he’s got 26% usage with 34% assist rates at a very cheap price point. The Pirates only have an implied total of 61 points, but Newton feels like a safe cash game target in this neutral site affair.
Tremont Robinson-White, ECU (G, 5000) – TRW has at least 30 DK in every game this season, largely due to 11 steals thru 3 games. OU has protected the ball well to date, so the steal rates are bound to normalize, but he’s got solid assist rates and can score just enough to feel good about his chances of hitting 4x+ tonight.
Umoja Gibson, OU (G, 4900) – Mo is leading the team with 28% shot share and gets a pace up game against an ECU team getting torched from beyond the arc. We saw Gibson fill it up on occasion last year and this is a great price point to target in cash or GPP lineups.
AJ Couisnard, SCAR (G/F, 4900) – With AJ Lawson gone and Keyshawn Bryant hurt, Couisnard is the focal point of Frank Martin’s fast paced offense. His 31% usage and 29 % shot share both lead the team. He’s had a 7-assist game and a 7-rebound game showing ability to stuff ancillary stats. He’s also had a 9-turnover game, so there is risk, but not much at this price. Great GPP target.
Philmon Gebrewhit, DPU (G, 4200) – He’s playing 37 mpg at the 2, will be a lot less opportunity against a tough defense in a slower-paced game, but price is nice for someone who will essentially play the entire game.
Meechie Johnson, OSU (G, 3300) – Getting 22 or so minutes at the 2-spot. I don’t see him getting up 12 shots like he did against Bowling Green, but he’s trending the right way and still bargain barrel pricing.
FORWARDS WE LIKE
EJ Liddell, OSU (F, 9300) – Full disclosure, I didn’t even look at his price when I started typing his name. Light minute load last game against the cupcake, this will be a vicious cock fight however, so I expect he’ll play 30+. KenPom #1 ranked player in the country if you’re into math.
Tanner Groves, OU (F, 8400) – Look, I don’t like the price point and I don’t love the over/under in this game, but that likely means Groves will be low owned in tourneys. He’s averaging over 30 DK a game and leads the team with 32% shot share, so I think Groves is a potential contrarian GPP option in Myrtle Beach tonight, albeit it with some risk given the game environment.
Jack Nunge, XAV (F, 5400) – If you’ve followed us in the past, you know we can’t quit Jack. Very difficult draw tonight against a former B1G opponent and still recovering from a knee injury, but I’m hedging the lid comes off those minutes in this one. He had 18 and 6 vs Ohio St last year.
Jalen Hill, OU (F, 4500) – Hill isn’t going to be a big usage guy, but he’s active on the glass and can rack up steals and blocks. He’s been fantastic to start the year and nothing scary about the matchup or price, so Hill’s worth a look as another Sooner value option.
Cliff Omoruyi, RU (F, 4300) – Not sure what happened last game, but I’m still bullish on the talented young center. The good news is, you can still get him cheap. Should have a relatively high floor at this price.
David Jones, DPU (F, 4000) – Priced $4800 cheaper than Freeman-Liberty but has higher usage and shot share and plays just as many minutes. 14x/10x in first two games, I doubt there are many entries that don’t have Jones in the lineup. I expect Jones/Freeman-Liberty stacks to be a popular option as well.
Wildens Leveque, SCAR (F, 3800) – Probably the second greatest Leveque ever behind the GIF’d one below. Leveque has average 29 fppg over the team’s first three (That is 7.5x). Now AJ Wilson, a George Mason transfer, is due back this game and that could cut some of his minutes, but I still like Leveque when it’s time to play the game….
Jaemyn Brakefield, MISS (F, 3300) – Started last game and played 25 minutes. The Duke transfer responded with 8 points, 8 boards and 2 blocks. Kermit is playing a lot of bodies as he figures out his rotation, but Brakefield has the second highest usage when on the floor (25.3%) so there is a lot of upside in him tonight.
Sum Up and Prize Picks
In what may be the norm for a while, a lot more value picks available on the DK slate. Identifying the right high priced smashes will be the key to unlocking the slate. Best of luck today and always Bucketheads!!
Our PrizePicks are below. We’ll try to build onto our 3-0 performance last night. A sneaky way to support our free content is by joining PrizePicks and using promo code CBBDFS. Not only does it help support your boys @cbb_dfs, but you’ll also get a 100% deposit bonus. It’s a win win!!
PRIZE PICKS
Jermaine Couisnard
OVER 23.5 fantasy points
With AJ Lawson gone and Keyshawn Bryant hurt, Couisnard is the lone alpha for Frank Martin’s Gamecocks. Through three games he is averaging 16-5-3 on the year, which is over the 23.5 projection. This game should be fast paced too, leading to more opportunities. Couisnard goes OVER 23.5 total fantasy points.
– Joe (4-4)
Trey Pulliam
OVER 19.8 fantasy points
Pulliam has 32% shot share thru 2 games, resulting in 13.5 points per game. Won’t you won’t see on his game logs are the elite steal rates Pulliam had last season, which are critical in PrizePicks format. We expect some positive regression against a fast paced, sloppy ASU team. Give me the OVER 19.8 fantasy points.
– Byrd (5-3)
BUCKETHEAD BONUS (3-2)
Javon Freeman-Liberty
UNDER 37.5 fantasy points
Great player and explosive start to the season, but I expect Rutgers to slow this game way down and muddy it up, limiting the former Valpo standout’s opportunities.