GUARDS WE LIKE

Marcus Sasser, UH (G, 8500) – The price point is steep, but ULL does play at the 11^th fastest tempo in the nation, so Sasser gets a pace up game as the lead guard for the Cougars. There is blowout risk for sure, making him more of a tourney option only, but he has several 40 DK efforts against lesser opponents this year if you have the cap space.

Caleb Love, UNC (G, 7900) – Love has finally started to become the player he’s teased since high school. Solid matchup by the numbers and recent form is strong, 5x/5x/4x in last 3. I like him a little more in cash and RJ Davis a little more in GPP with the 1200 price gap.

Marcus Carr, UT (G, 6400) – One of the Texas guards should have a nice game against UAPB’s horrendous defense, but it’s hard to guess which one. I do like Carr’s increased usage of late and he’ll have the ball in his hands the most, so I’ll lean Carr to gobble up some DFS goodness against Arkansas Peanut Butter tonight.

Alex Hunter, FUR (G, 6300) – Couple of important notes here, Furman had 4 OT games this year so game logs may be artificially inflated. Second, one of those games was against Louisville, which they won. Hunter is shooting 45% from 3, an area UNC has struggled to defend at times. You can pay up for Bothwell instead who had 5x vs UL, but recent form isn’t great so risky. Furman’s big man, Slawson has the highest usage/shot rate and recent triple-double, but at 6’7 will be overmatched by UNC front court. Hunter is the only Paladin starter I would consider in this one.

Josiah Jordan-James, TEN (G, 6000) – Tennessee’s pricing is tough today for this projected blow-out. USC-Upstate doesn’t really do anything well so a guy who can do everything, like JJJ, should be able to stuff the stat column. Vesoci and Chandler will be fine, but if starters are only getting 25 minutes, I think Jordan-James can do the most in the short time, for the price. 

Al-Amir Dawes, CLEM (G, 5800) – The Red Hawks have really struggled to guard the 3 this season, 36% 3P and opponents getting 42% of their scoring from 3. Dawes is the best shooter on this team, hitting 48% of his 3s and leading the team in 3PA, so definite matchup advantage here. In GPP, you can also consider pivoting down to Nick Honor for a $600 price savings but he will be more shot dependent.

Ryan Nembhard, CRE (G, 5700) – Leads the Jays in minutes, assists, steals, and 3PT shooting. Scored in double figures every game but one this year. The freshman point guard is still underpriced given his role on the team. Safe as can be in a cash game format and has showed GPP upside earlier in the season.  

Mekhi Lairy, MIAOH (G, 5600) – The PG is averaging right at 5x on the season at this price. He leads the team at usage and shot rate (29%/31%) as well. Matchup isn’t as scary as it seems, Clemson plays slow but are just inside the top 100 defensively. Lairy can be considered in all formats.

JD Davison, BAMA (G, 5300) – 5x/6x/7x in his last three games. I expect Davison to show all future incoming freshmen where the talent should sign in seasons to come. He’s playable in Cash or GPP builds tonight, as are Quinerly (6900) and Shackelford (7300) for a significant price increase. This game should have a billion possessions as the teams play at the 13^th and 20^th fastest tempos in the nation.

Kobe Julien, ULL (G, 4900) – I generally avoid playing anyone against Houston’s D and ULL plays the 26^th highest bench minutes in the country. Jordan Brown is priced too high and Greg Williams, Jr.’s production is all over the place. I worry about firing up a freshman on the road, but Julien has 24% shot share and is engaged with peripheral stats. He had a stinker last game out but was at 5x+ over the 3 games prior. Overall, lot of risk with any Ragin Cajun tonight.

Shawn Williams, UAPB (G, 4900) – The Golden Lions have been the tamest of lions offensively, 353^rd in offensive efficiency. That said, they play a short rotation which helps a little. KenPom has them projected for 49 points tonight, so don’t over-invest in any kings of the jungle tonight. Williams is probably my favorite of the bunch, as he has over 20 DK in 5 straight and averages 5x on the season at this price point. Trey Sampson is more of a GPP target for $100 more, while Brandon Brown has 5x+ in 3 of his last 4 including a 50-burger last game out if you aren’t concerned about the low implied total and $7100 price tag.  

Bryson Mozone, SCSPA (G,4800) – Mozone and freshman Jordan Gainey (G, 5800) are the only two Spartans that play 30 minutes consistently. There is also a chance the Vols hold this team to like 36 total points, so buyer beware on Upstate plays. If I have to take one, give me Mozone who leads the team in shot share (28.3%), and is $1,000 cheaper than the freshman.

Jamal Shead, UH (G, 4600) –  Shead and Tramon Mark are both viable GPP options, but I’ll lean Shead for $700 less. Outside of the massive blowout against Bryant, he’s seen almost 30 minutes per game, hitting over 30 DK in 2 of his last 4. If he continues to see plenty of minutes, he has a good shot at exceeding value tonight.

Jay Heath, ASU (G, 4600) – The former Boston College guard is coming off the bench, but playing starter minutes. Marreon Jackson and DJ Horne are overpriced and Heath is in good form having been in double figures in 4/5. He is the team’s best 3PT shooter (45.5%) and Creighton has given up good looks from 3 all year.  

Cameron Jones, SCST (G, 4200) – He’s the only Bulldog that really jumps out, mostly due to price and playing time. He averages 30 mpg, second on the team. He also leads the team in usage at 25%. He’s not a great shooter, so he can fall flat at times. Obviously, the implied score and matchup is brutal so should be consider a GPP flier.

Zakai Zeigler, TEN (G, 3800) – The Vols are going to smash in this one per Vegas (-33), so there could be some extra run for the reserves. Zeigler has played 21 and 28 minutes in their last two and is getting more run at the point with the move of Vescovi off the ball. Good chance ZZ tops 4x in this one.