GUARDS WE LIKE

Jacob Gilyard, RICH (G, 8300) – Price is steep, but he has shown the ability to be GPP viable due to his ancillary production. Gilyard averages 6.5 assists, 3.5 rebounds, and 3.5 steals per game. That is 21.1 FPPG without making a basket, and he has double digit shot attempts in his last 3.

Jaden Ivey, PUR (G, 7700) – This is a great spot to play Ivey. Up-tempo Nebraska squad at home that just gave up a whopper to Illinois’s Trent Frazier. Ivey is priced down after 4 mid-20s games yet maintaining his usage and shot share. Provided the blow-out doesn’t come too early, I like Ivey to show out.

Bryce Hamilton, UNLV (G, 7600) – UNLV hosts a Bulldog team currently 354^th in the nation in tempo, resulting in one of the lowest over/unders on the slate. Hamilton remains in the consideration set due to his 37.7% shot share, 2^nd highest in the country. He’s a little scoring dependent and the pace really hurts his upside, but he’s in play as a risky tourney option.  

Sincere Carry, KENT (G, 7300) – The game environment isn’t great, but Carry is the 7^th highest priced guard and the only one on the slate with multiple 50 burgers. Those have come in 2 of his last 3 outings. He’s also been 4x or more in his last 7 so floor is safe too. He is sincerely one of the better plays tonight. 

Malique Jacobs, KENT (G, 6800) – Kent State is 320^th in bench minutes so we know who plays, and all starters are appropriately priced over 5k. Jacobs is the #2 option and is an active swing man who’s ancillary production gives him a safe floor. On a smaller slate from what we are use to this week, he’s playable. 

Trent Frazier, IL (G, 6500) – Frazier is priced up after a 48 DK outburst in Lincoln. He is and has always been a gamer. I expected Nebraska to bring more double teams on Kofi, but Coach Hoiberg trusted his big man Walker to hold fort. I would expect the same strategy here, which will mean less open looks for Illinois shooters. Frazier is really the only Illini that can get his own shot, so I could see his number being called early and often.

Jalen Adaway, STBON (G, 6400) – The Bonnies are an interesting DFS case study. The great thing is they only play 5 guys, which is the DFS nuts. The bad news is they are all priced really high and VCU has the #1 effective FG% defense in the country right now. I lean Adaway because he has the lowest price point, and his rebounding will be needed in this one but trust your gut on the Bonnies tonight because all 5 starters will play damn near 40 minutes tonight.

Sasha Stefanovic, PUR (G, 6100) – Nebraska is ranked #299 in 3pt D. Shooting 3s is Sasha’s lifelong gimmick, plus he’s at home. Yes, he is overpriced. He hasn’t sniffed 5x at that price all season (maybe all career) but should get double-digit shot attempts and 4x is likely.

Alfonso Plummer, IL (G, 6000) – 3 for 16 from 3 in his last three games as teams have elected to take their chances with Kofi inside. He’s way too good of a shooter to not be utilized however. In a big game at home, Underwood will run some actions to get him open looks and out of his shooting funk.

Adrian Baldwin, VCU (G, 5700) – Baldwin has played 29 minutes or more in each of the 3 games, so his Achilles injury seems to be a thing of the past. He has 5x upside at this price point despite what is expected to be a slower, grind it out game on the road.

Foster Loyer, DAV (G, 5300) – In his last 7 games he has averaged 33.47 DK (6.3x) and he has done it a variety of ways. The Former Michigan State Spartan has had usage close to 30% in conference play and the shot share is a team high 27.5%. 

Xavier Castaneda, AKR (G, 5300) – The Zips have won 7-of-8 so the team is in good form. Castaneda is in good form too with 9x/4x/4x/5x/6x/6x in his last 6. Not the primary offensive option, but he has been more aggressive lately with at least 12 shot attempts in his last 4.

Anthony Holland, FRES (G, 5200) – Orlando Robinson is a complete stud, but I’m just not sure I can pay $8900 for him in a game the Bulldogs are expected to score in the mid-60s. He’s probably a risk GPP option only given the pace. Price wise, I’m a slightly more comfortable with Holland, who is back from COVID and played 38 minutes last game. He’s not going to drop another 40 burger like last time out, but UNLV can be exposed behind the arc and he’s hitting 44% from 3 this season. He’s a solid 4x option tonight with a little upside, but just keep in mind this is not a great game environment overall.

Caleb Houstan, MICH (G/F, 5100) – Illinois can get exposed from the perimeter. Michigan has nowhere near the shooters they’ve had in previous years, but Houstan is supposed to be that guy. At 6’8, he’ll be a mismatch for Grandison/Williams, especially when Diabate is in the game. 6x vs Rutgers last game, Brooks is a safer play, but Houstan could be a difference-maker.

Ali Ali, AKR (G/F, 3700) – One of two free squares tonight from Akron. If you can get past last game’s 1.5 DK performance in 30 minutes you are getting the team’s leading scorer for 3700. Eligible at G and F, expect high ownerships given the price, flexibility, and 24% usage and shot rate.

Keisei Tominaga, NEB (G, 3700) – The one thing Purdue has had trouble defending this season is the 3-ball, giving up 38% of opponent’s scoring from long range. The Mayor’s Cornhusker squad surprisingly lacks shooting this year, but Tominaga and Wilcher are the best of the bunch. The Nebraska guards may have a tough time getting up shots in the paint but could lead to open kickouts, so not a bad punt play on the small slate.

Leo Colimerio, FRES (G/F, 3000) – Leo has played at least 29 minutes in 3 straight games now. The 6’7 forward has rebounded well of late, so even though he has minuscule offensive usage, he’s at the stone minimum and should be on the court. If you are desperate for a price saver, he’s a deep cut option.