GUARDS WE LIKE

Alondes Williams, WAKE (G, 9300) – His price is absurd, but Georgia Tech is 131^st in effective FG% defense, which is really bad for a high major. Worth noting, Williams is averaging a full 8 DK points less on the road this season, so I think he’s better suited as a GPP option if you have the extra salary. I do prefer him over LaRavia for the small price difference because he’s shown a higher ceiling. As a newly established Wake Forest fan boy, I’m hoping they don’t slip up on the road tonight. We’ll see how ETSU transfer Damario Monsanto fits into the rotation as the 6’6 ETSU transfer debuts fresh off a miraculous Achilles recovery.

Dereon Seabron, NCST (G, 9200) – 4x in Blacksburg a couple weeks ago, 5x game vs Clemson and 16 and 10 at Cameron since then. He’s receding a bit in usage and shot share as some of the other guys are taking on scoring load. He should dominate the boards in this one however and plays about 4 DK better at home. Hokies have the worst defense in the ACC.

Michael Devoe, GT (G, 8700) – Got completely locked up by Leaky Black last game, but Wake Forest isn’t special defensively. It’s a good bounce back spot for Devoe and I think you could make the argument he’s a better play for $600 less than Alondes Williams. His egg last game could reduce ownership as well, so could be a lower owned tourney option if you have the salary.

Ron Harper Jr, RU (G/F, 8500) – Harper is electric at the RAC, averaging 11 DK more at home than away. Excellent pace-up matchup for him against Iowa. Should have some rebounding and 3pt upside in this one.

Keon Ellis, BAMA (G, 8300) – We want a piece of this game but the pricing makes it hard. With Ellis, Shack and JG separated by just $100 each, give me Ellis and his all around game of the three. Boom or bust guard JD Davison at 5700 is also an option, but better suited for GPP.

Mike Miles Jr., TCU (G, 7800) – The Horned Frogs are overpriced tonight, especially in a game where KenPom has them projected for 61 points on the road. It is a pace up game though and Miles has averaged 30 fantasy points on the year. I’m probably not clicking the button, but he’s the safest option on this squad right now due to his high shot share and assist rates.

Collin Gillespie, VU (G, 7600) – He and Justin Moore (G, 7300) are both viable tonight. Marquette wants to play with pace and that game environment favors guards. Both can be considered cash game locks with GPP upside.

Sahvir Wheeler, UK (G, 7400) – Wheeler is back from his injury and had 38 DK in 28 minutes. No concerns with him at this reduced price except for the game environment. That being said UK just put up 101 against defensive minded Tennessee.

Terquavion Smith, NCST (G, 7000) – Take away the Clemson game 10 days ago when he missed every shot, Smith has been electric lately. Close to 5x at VT last time, should have a favorable matchup once again. Hellems might be a little safer for cash, but I prefer Smith in GPP as he is a little cheaper with a higher ceiling. Jacked up 21 shots against the Dookies last game.

Eric Gaines, LSU (G, 5700) – We want to monitor Pinson’s status, but Gaines has been excellent starting in his place. Logging 37 and 34 minutes in two starts he is now at a season high price point. Usage rates are over 26% in conference play, so even if Pinson does return his opportunities to exceed value should still be there.

Alex O’Connell, CRE (G, 5600) – Alex has 30 DK in 2-of-3 and you have to love the match-up with pacey St. John’s at home. Many will be on Nembhard (G, 4800), so O’Connell could be a sneaky pivot to build a contrarian lineup. We like both plays here!

Bryce Williams, OKST (G, 5500) – If you love balanced teams with a different guy stepping up each night, you’ll love the Cowboys offense. You probably won’t enjoy DFS though, as it’s a complete nightmare picking from these guards. If forced to choose, I’d lean Williams due to his increased usage in conference play and top 25 steal rates against a TCU time that isn’t afraid to turn the ball over a bunch. I’m probably avoiding this game completely, but if anything we are thorough here @cbb_dfs.

Brevin Galloway, BC (G, 5300) – The former Charleston Cougar has started to emerge over the last 3 games. His minutes are up significantly, and he has a wild 35% shot share on the season, so full ball-hog mode when he’s on the court. He’s averaging 10 3PA his last 4 games. Louisville isn’t Baylor LSU defensively, so you can take a chance on him in tournaments.

Noah Locke, UL (G, 5300) – Locke is another high risk/high reward, shot-dependent type. BC is giving up 39% from 3 and Locke is the best shooter for the Cardinals. He’s priced at a season high, so you’re taking a chance, but occasionally he delivers and matchup is solid.

Phlandrous Fleming Jr., UF (G, 5200) – Maybe it’s just because he has a cool name or a reasonable price tag for a guy with 25% shot share, but Fleming is a decent 4x option with upside at home tonight. Miss St. dares teams to shoot from 3 as well, so maybe the 37% 3-point shooter can get hot tonight. If you want to get really weird, you can look at McKissic at $3200 since he’s getting 20+ minutes a night as well.

Tyrese Radford, TA&M (G, 5100) – I am not a fan of the A&M pricing against UK, but Radford has all the talent to hang with the talented Wildcats. At the very least, for 5100, you are getting 30+ minutes and he should be a safe cash option.

Geo Baker, RU (G, 4800) – Baker isn’t shooting well of late, but he’s still super active in the offense. He’s a proven guy, in a great matchup at home, and at a price to smash. Mulcahy might be a little safer play for $600 more but shares a similar matchup advantage.

Nahiem Alleyne, VT (G, 4200) – The Hokies just played the Wolfpack two weeks ago, so some fresh game logs to review. Alleyne had your basic terrible game, going 2-11. Here’s the thing though, he fires up shots; second on the team in shot share behind Aluma (21%) and plays more minutes than anyone (82%). It’s almost never on the road, but he does figure out how to shoot occasionally. 7x vs ND last game, see if he can keep the fire lit. If you’re a coward, you can pay up $100 for Storm Murphy who is way safer (7x/3x/5x/4x/5x last 5).

Shakeel Moore, MSST (G, 4100) – Moore is definitely a tourney option only, but he has 6x or better in 4 of his last 7 at this price point. I can’t pay up for the Bulldogs highest usage option in Molinar, especially given this offense strolls along at the 304^th tempo in the nation, but Moore’s cheap price tag is worth at least some mild consideration. Florida does eliminate shots behind the arc, so you could consider forward Garrison Brooks in tourneys as well.

El Ellis, UL (G, 4100) – Entered the starting lineup a couple games ago and played 33 minutes his last game vs Pitt. He is second on the team in shot share (25%) behind Locke, so not a bad punt play against a nothing-special BC defense.

Daivien Williamson, WAKE (G, 4100) – Probably not a ton of ceiling here, but Williamson did play 34 minutes last game and appears fully recovered from his COVID absence. He’s averaging 12 ppg, so he’s got 4-5x potential at a cheap price if you are desperate.

Deivon Smith, GT (G, 3700) – He’s still playing behind Sturdivant at PG, but Smith has back to back 7x efforts at this price point. Devoe and Usher remain the focal points on offense for Georgia Tech, but with Parham out Smith is a potential cheap flyer that’s in very good form for a desperate Yellow Jacket squad right now.

Greg Elliott, MARQ (G, 3600) – Against a Big East heavyweight like Villanova a veteran presence is nice to have. Enter Elliott who has gone 4x/10x/4x in last three and played 20+ min in last two. Shaka is playing a lot of guys a lot of minutes, so his floor time is far from guaranteed. Definitely a high risk/high reward option.

Bryan Antoine, VU (G, 3100) – I love the pace of this game and if Nova wins big the reserve could get close to 20 minutes. He’s a scorer who has 6-7x potential if game flow break right for him and shots are dropping. Antoine is just 4-for-20 from the field so far so positive regression is due.

Thomas Allen, NCST (G, 3000) – Since he was promoted to starter 6 games ago, he’s only missed 4x one time. The bad news is, that was against Virginia Tech. The good news is, he’s at home now and I suspect he’ll get his usual minute load with a chance to redeem himself. Plus you can’t pay less for a starter.