GUARDS WE LIKE

Wendell Moore, Jr. DUKE, (G/F, 9500) – Moore has more games above 40 DK than Banchero at a lower price and this game should have a ton of possessions, so I’ll list Moore here for consideration. Unlike last night’s builds, there aren’t as many “sure things” who have that consistent 45+ upside like Oscar or Kofi have shown this season. If you do want a piece of a high-priced Dookie, I’d lean Moore over Banchero because of his ability to fill up the stat sheet. We could play Moore in the $5k range last year and now he’s in the consideration set at $9500 this season.  CBB is wild my friends.

Alondes Williams, WAKE (G, 9200) – Alondes has shown as high of a ceiling as any player in the country and nothing scary about a Duke defense that just gave up 76 points at home to a Charlie Moore lead Hurricanes team. Miami had 15 steals in that one as well, so I think he’s got a safe floor with upside tonight despite his season high price point. I prefer him over LaRavia, who is priced up almost $2k from a week ago. LaRavia is awesome but Williams has a similar floor with higher ceiling for only $500 more.

Eric Ayala, UMD (G, 8100) – Northwestern gives up points primarily in two ways, from beyond the arc and at the line. Maryland is not a good 3pt shooting team, but Ayala is the best and takes the most. He’s also second on the team in fouls drawn, so it could be a big scoring night for him. 

Paul Scruggs, XAV (G, 7700) – Xavier has been brutal pricing wise all season long, and rightfully so as a different Musketeer seems to step up each night. Scruggs leads the team in minutes, assist rate, steal %, and had 37 DK last time out. He is my only X recommendation tonight.

David Collins, CLEM (G/F, 7700) – The Irish are purely awful on the offensive boards (#323), so Collins could hit double-digit rebounds in this one. If he can hit his scoring average and grab a couple steals, he should have no problem hitting 4x here, making him a strong cash play.

Darius Perry, UCF (G, 7000) – Memphis plays fast and their defense isn’t as good as it’s been in previous years, so Perry has a shot tonight in a game UCF is expected to score in the high 70s. He’ll have the ball in his hands all game and Memphis is a turnover factory, giving him steal upside. I think he’s got a safe floor with 5x ceiling tonight. You could also look at Green for $1200 less, but he’s a fully scoring dependent GPP option only.

Chase Audige, NW (G/F, 7000) – 4x for he and Buie last time they played Maryland. I would expect similar results in this one as well, but I’ll give Audige a little bump since the December game was his first game back from injury. Since then he’s commanded a 30% shot share and hit over 4x in two of last three games (OSU and MSU).

Fatts Russell, UMD (G, 6900) – The Wildcats allow the most assists/made FG of any team in the entire country. That bodes well for Russell who has a team high 26% assist rate. Look for open driving lanes where he can dish it or take it to the cup and draw a foul. This should be a fairly high possession game, so you can consider him in all formats.

Jericole Hellems, NCST (G, 6900) – You can flip a coin with Smith and him in this one. Both scored the ball well last time these teams played. They will get a few boards and a couple steals as well. You can play them in either format but the ceiling is 5x against a tough Louisville D.

Justin Moore, VU (G, 6800) – Seems to have found his shooting stroke with 21 and 22 real points in his last two. I’ll lean Moore over Gillespie and save the $800, but both should be just fine. The Wildcats don’t go deep into their bench (347th) so we know where the scoring is coming from.

Tyrese Martin, UCONN (G/F, 6700) – I like Martin a lot today given the amount of possessions that will be in this match-up with the Red Storm. Martin is a steady scorer and solid rebounder who will log heavy minutes as long as this game stays close. RJ Cole (G, 7500) is also very playable, but the free square tonight on UConn is at forward. #teaser

Sam Griffin, TLSA (G, 6700) – I like Griffin over Horne. The glaring 1800 price drops is a big part of this, but Sam also has higher usage and shot rates. He is a bit scoring dependent, but will collect a steal here and there. Any addiitonal ancillary production will most likey be opportunistic or accidental.

Mark Smith, KSU (G/F, 6600) – TCUs 283^rd tempo heads slowly to Manhattan to play a defensive minded KSU team that also enjoys a methodical, boring brand of basketball. I’m a little surprised the over/under is 139, but I’ll stick to DFS content.  Mark Smith and Nigel Pack are probably the most reasonable options at $6600 each. Smith has a high floor because he does a little bit of everything, while Pack can really shoot the basketball and TCU isn’t great defending behind the arc. Nowell’s shown some 40 DK games lately as well, so they are all low-owned GPP options. Maybe this game surprises me, but my biases just can’t get excited about this one from a DFS perspective.

Damien Dunn, TEMP (G/F, 6500) – Temple struggles to score, but when they do it is normally Damien Dunn who does it. He is coming off a career high 33 points and there is nothing scary about Tulsa’s D. Should be safe in cash builds with obvious GPP appeal.

Blake Wesley, ND (G, 6400) – We’ve been on Wesley since all the way back in November. He was at a rock-bottom $3000 price then, but he’s more than double that now as he has essentially become the alpha scorer for the Irish. He has 30% usage and 32% shot share; played 40 minutes in his last game, so no more surprises here. Difficult matchup but it’s his show.

Chuck O’Bannon, Jr., TCU (G/F, 6300) – As mentioned above, we don’t expect a ton of possessions in this game so hard to get overly excited about any Horned Frog, but I’ll at least mention O’Bannon Jr. He’s gone 4-5x in 5 of his last 6 games, so recent form is great. Mike Miles, Jr. would be the other TCU option to consider as a low owned contrarian GPP option, but it’s hard to make a smashburger with these game flow ingredients.

Dylan Addae-Wusu, STJN (G, 5700) – I just can’t pay for Champagnie (9800) or Posh (7900). UConn is good defensively and getting close to 100% health wise. Addae-Wusu makes sense to me. In his last 7 games he has gone 5-6x five times and scored in double figures every game.

Al-Amir Dawes, CLEM (G, 5500) – ND gives up nearly 36% from 3 and that’s Dawes’s gimmick. Game should be fairly high-scoring and competitive. Dawes is shot-dependent, so you want to look at him in GPP only, but I wouldn’t expect him to be highly owned.

Max Christie, MSU (G, 5300) – Christie has hit 5x at this price in 5 of his last 6 games, including Minnesota. The talented freshman is finding his stride scoring the basketball and should have some rebounding upside here as well.

AJ Griffin, DUKE (G/F, 5200) – Just like Joe’s favorite TLC song, Griffin’s price is starting to “Creep.” Rightfully so, as he’s playing more minutes of late and averaging right around 20 DK a game over that stretch. Coach K has really tightened the rotation so as long as he gets minutes, the former 5-star guard has a chance to hit value tonight in a pacey game environment.

Josh Minott, MEM (G/F, 4700) – Memphis is a DFS disaster and I hate writing them up. If Williams is out again with a back injury, Minott would likely see 30+ minutes again and he’s scored at least 27 DK in 3 straight games. He’s arguably their best player right now and even though his price is up, he’s worth a look if Deandre can’t go.

Emoni Bates, MEM (G/F, 4100) – The 5-star talent is priced down over $2k due to wildly inconsistent performances. He returned last game against Cincy and played his best game of the season, but also only played 21 minutes. Memphis is a complete headache from a DFS perspective, so tread lightly here, but obviously Bates has talent and his price is cheap, even for a guy with T-Rex arms.

Brandon Murray, LSU (G, 4000) – With Pinson likely to miss the Tigers backcourt will need others to step up. Eric Gaines (5200) will start and get most the buzz, but Murray is who I like. He has double figure scoring outings in his last three and is an excellent defender. Not a slate breaker, but good cheap cash option.

Jahlil White, TEMP (G/F, 3900) – Has played well in his last 4 (20+ DK) with extended minutes due to injuries. With Forrester (F, 3700) and Strickland (G, 3200) potentially coming back for this one think GPP only for all three. Each has flashed at times this year.

Malik Hall, MSU (G/F, 3800) – The talented Hall is a quintessential GPP play. He did hit 32 DK in 22 minutes earlier in the season vs the Gophers, but he has a short leash at times, so definite risk. Should have some rebounding upside against arguable the worst rebounding high-major team in the country. 

Storm Murphy, VT (G, 3700) – Murphy’s playing right around 30 minutes per game and Virginia does give up it’s far share of 3-point FGs this season. The over/under is scary low, but Murphy is cheap and if he can hit a few shots, he should easily hit value.

Samuell Williamson, UL (G/F, 3700) – Louisville is a complete mess from a DFS perspective right now. They are top 40 in bench minutes and everyone is playing. It’s like if Oprah was the coach. We’ll highlight the cheap players since that is probably most relevant. Williamson is a former 5-star that hasn’t really emerged at the next level. He’s hit over 20 DK in 3 of his last 4 however and is playing 25 mpg in that stretch. Not a bad punt to see if he can keep it going against a bad NC St defense.

Aaron Wheeler, STJN (G/F, 3600) – Punt option with roster flexibility. Wheeler could see extended minutes if this game slows down and Champagnie moves to the 3. Averaging 5x in his last 4 and 26 DK last time out.

El Ellis, UL (G, 3400) – 7x and 8x in his last two, his minutes have jumped way up and leads the team in usage and shot share when he’s on the court. Coach Mack is playing the shell game with the lineup right now, so it’s hard to know who’s number will get called on a given night, but the juco transfer Ellis seems like he’s trending the right way.

Tyler Harris, MEM (G, 3300) – Memphis’ beat writer Jason Munz does a great job providing information, so keep your eyes peeled to his Twitter. Timberlake got a concussion last game and Lomax is dinged up. If they are both out, Harris becomes the starting PG and would likely play 25+ minutes. He’s wildly inconsistent, like every other Memphis Tiger, but at the price he’d be worth the risk.

Bryan Antoine, VU (G, 3200) – As mentioned in Moore write up, Nova is not deep, but Antoine has picked up steady minutes as a 6th/7th man since returning to the team. The talented often-injured guard is playing a 15 minutes and is near rock bottom pricing if you need a punt.

Thomas Allen, NCST (G, 3100) – He’s made our list once already, and that was his bad game unfortunately. He seems to have taken over the point role, but it’s clear his playing time is still predicated on matchup. Louisville isn’t a great one, but if he plays 30 minutes, that’s still hard to beat for near rock-bottom pricing.