Easy to get frustrated as a content creator with a slate like this. We had 11 on Tuesday, 10 yesterday and 12 today so the week has been a rough one for your boys @CBB_DFS. While there is a little B1G and PAC 12 goodness, the DK players have to sift through a LOT of games to find the right plays tonight. It’s not ideal, but it’s better than nothing.
When slates get like this we don’t want to overburden our readers. Too much information may be a negative. Some games we’ll give you a couple plays, others you may not see any. This doesn’t mean someone not listed is unplayable, it just means the options we’ve listed might be safer or have more upside. Let us be your starting point, but trust your gut and instincts. Here are some names to help you with your build! Let’s have a Buckethead take it down tonight!
1/6/22
| Game | Time | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD @ IL | 6:00 | IL -11.5 | 143.5 |
| OSU @ IU | 6:00 | IU -2.5 | 137.5 |
| *LBS @ UCLA | 6:30 | UCLA -17 | 147 |
| UAB @ UNT | 7:00 | UNT -1 | 124 |
| MTSU @ RICE | 7:00 | RICE -3.5 | 151.5 |
| USM @ UTSA | 7:00 | UTSA -3 | 136 |
| IOWA @ WISC | 8:00 | WISC -2.5 | 146.5 |
| WSU @ COL | 8:00 | COL -1.5 | 129.5 |
| SMU @ CINCY | 8:00 | CINCY -2 | 139.5 |
| UW @ UTAH | 8:30 | UTAH -10.5 | 145.5 |
| LT @ UTEP | 9:00 | LT -3.5 | 139 |
| USC @ CAL | 10:00 | USC -5.5 | 125.5 |
GUARDS WE LIKE
Kendric Davis, SMU (G, 9500) – He’s at peak price but putting up 50-burgers will do that. The Bearcats’ pressure D could work to Davis’s advantage, as he draws 6.2 fouls/40mins. With a 28% usage and 27% shot share, he will have the ball in his hands lots.
Johnny Davis, WISC (G, 9000) – No one hotter than him right now. He gets a pace-up game at home vs a soft-as-tissue Iowa defense. He’s playable in all formats, even at his bananas price tag.
Jeremiah Davenport, CINCY (G, 7400) – It’s too bad Davenport is at his peak price, because he has a solid matchup tonight as the Bearcats host SMU. He leads the team with a 28% shot share and should be active on the offensive boards as well. SMU giving up 64% of opponents’ scoring from 2. You can pivot down to former Wolverine, DeJulius as well for a small price savings.
Brad Davison, WISC (G, 7300) – He’s only hit 5x at this price once this season (@GT), but he should have a massive advantage from beyond the arc vs Iowa. Double-digit shot attempts from 3 wouldn’t be a shock.
Tyger Campbell, UCLA (G, 6800) – COVID creates weird scheduling, so UCLA and the Beach will play again. The first game UCLA dropped 100 on them, so expect UCLA to score at will again tonight. In general, UCLA’s pricing is too high and their balanced approach limits upside. That said, Tyger is their only true ball handler on the team, so he should see 30+ minutes. He’s shooting 48% from 3 and has a top 40 offensive rating per KenPom, so I think he’s a safe cash play tonight.
Michael Flowers, WSU (G, 6500) – This is slowly turning into a Michael Flowers lead backcourt. Williams is still chucking a million shots per game, but Flowers has been much more efficient and can impact the game by more than just scoring. I’m not in love with anyone from this game, but I do think Flowers has a higher floor while Williams is strictly a scoring dependent GPP target for the Cougs.
Travis Evee, RICE (G, 6400) – Rice’s options are all GPP plays after reviewing the data. Evee is coming off a 48 DK outing two games ago and is a stat stuffer and an efficient offensive player so I like him the best of the group. With this total there will be a lot of plays from this game, but note in the last 5 Owls games there have been 4 different leading scorers.
Alfonso Plummer, IL (G, 6200) – Coming off a matchup he wasn’t really needed, Plummer failed to hit a 3 which hasn’t happened since the Marquette game. The Terrapins have a legit big man in Wahab and will likely bring double teams on Kofi which should open up the shooters. I expect Plummer to be much more active tonight. You can also look at Frazier and Grandison at similar price points.
Carl Pierre, RICE (G, 5900) – Crazy Carl leads the team in minutes and has a 24.4% shot share. He’s shown nice upside with 5x in 4 of 7. He and Evee (above) are both shooting over 43% from deep on 70+ 3PTA this year. Opponents are hitting over 35% of 3s on MTSU so they should have open looks set up by Fiedler (F, 8100 – a unique pass-first big) tonight.
Cobe Williams, LT (G, 5500) – He’s been good with a 6x and 7x in his last two and provides price relief from Willis (7200) and Archibald (8400). La Tech doesn’t go deep into the bench so this backcourt and Lofton make up most of the scoring and ancillary production for the team. Even Christon (3600), the last starter, is a punt option given his steady minutes and fill-in-the-gap production.
Joel Murray, LBS (G, 5200) – Murray dropped 30 real points on UCLA back in mid-November. I’ll take the under 30 points tonight, but he leads the team in minutes and has 31% shot share on the season. He’s scoring dependent, but his price makes him almost a lock for 4x.
Jamari Wheeler, OSU (G, 5200) – Indiana has the best interior defense in basketball, holding teams to 39% from 2. Liddell won’t be shut out, but he’ll have an extremely rough time in Bloomington, so I’m looking at Wheeler to provide some punch. 5x in 3 of last 4 games, he’ll grab some boards and add some dimes as well. Folks may chase Branham’s 47 DK vs Neb, so Wheeler’s ownership could be low. Also keep an eye on Young’s status, if he’s out, Key should start again and log heavy minutes.
Jordan Ivy-Curry, UTSA (G, 4800) – Ivy-Curry has a 28% shot share and appeal in GPP builds given that backcourt mate Dhieu Deing will miss this one according to sources. Game logs are all over the place so keep away from your cash builds, but 29 DK in 18 minutes last game without Deing and 36 and 41 DK outbursts earlier in the season suggest there’s a chance.
John Newman III, CINCY (G/F, 4100) – At least 4x in last 6 games and 5x in half of those. The former Clemson Tiger has settled into his role here. SMU just average so far defensively, so a nice spot to keep it going at home.
Jorell Saterfield, UTEP (G/F, 4000) – We are monitoring the status of our favorite Miner Keonte Kennedy who missed last game, but whether or not he goes shouldn’t matter as Satterfield started his heater with KK on the floor. Double figure scoring in his last 4 games. 26+ minutes in his last 3 and a season high 15 points last time out. He is a bit scoring dependent, but if you don’t pay up for Boum (7700) Saterfield is a safe and cheap option.
Both Gach, UTAH (G, 4000) – Tourney option only here, but Gach had a 5-game stretch of greatness followed by 3 straight stinkers. The Huskies play fast and generally don’t defend, so if there was ever a get right game it’s tonight. Max volatility, but 6x+ upside when he’s right.
Donovan Sims, MTSU (G, 3900) – When looking at the Blue Raiders note that 9 players get between 14-28 minutes a night, so they use their bench. Sims logs close to 28 minutes per game at the point and has 24% usage and a 26% shot share. At 3900, he’s my favorite but Jefferson (5000) went 6x and 5x in his last two and Lawrence (4200) has a 28% shot rate, so those two are intriguing.
FORWARDS WE LIKE
Isaiah Mobley, USC (F, 9200) – Cal wants to muck things up and play slow, which certainly hurts the upside of Mobley. He’s coming off a poor outing last game and his price is still sky high, but Mobley also has 40+ DK in 5 of his last 7 games, including 40+ in slow paced rock fights against UC Irvine and San Diego St. The game environment and pricing makes it reasonable to fade this game completely, but Mobley has at least shown the ability to produce regardless of game flow so he’s a risky GPP option tonight.
Kenneth Lofton, LT (F, 8700) – In 3 of 4 times that Lofton has been on a DK slate he has underwhelmed with 22, 28, and 23 DK. This leaves a sour taste in the DFS players mouths. He also has a 40 burger 4 different times, a 50 burger once, and a near 70 burger (67.3) once. Nothing scary about the UTEP match-up. If you can shake off the bad taste from past experience, get him in there.
Branden Carlson, UTAH (F, 7300) – The Huskies played their best game of the season against AZ, but I expect them to revert to the mean of being a shitty Pac-12 team tonight. Carlson should have his way down low against a team that was torture racked by Koloko on Monday. I’m expecting another low-30s DK performance, which Carlson has done several times this season.
Jabari Walker, COL (F, 7200) – This game has a low over/under so tread lightly, but Walker should never be priced below Evan Battey. He got hurt last game but was cleared to play KU on 12/20 before a string of COVID postponements derailed the Buffs season. Not a slate breaker by any means, but Walker is generally a 4x type of producer at this price point.
Jacob Germany, UTSA (F, 6500) – Per Jerry Briggs on twitter, Dhieu Deing (and his 33% shot share) will miss the contest tonight against Southern Miss. This means more love for Jacob Germany in the paint. Germany already boasted a 29.3% usage and shot rate and was one of my favorite plays before the news on Deing.
Isaiah Moore, USM (F, 6400) – Southern Miss is way overpriced considering they are KenPom’s 284th rated team currently on an L6. That being said they face KP’s 305th rated team in UTSA (so glad this is on the slate) so there will be opportunities for DK points. I like Moore because he is a great rebounder and does enough offensively. UTSA is 357th (of 358 teams) in effective FG% so plenty of boards to gobble up.
Emmitt Matthews, Jr., UW (F, 5200) – The Huskies alpha Terrell Brown has been priced to the moon, but Matthews, Jr. and Daejon Davis (G, 4200) remain priced down despite getting 30+ minutes per night. Utah is a dreadful defending inside the arc and minutes equal money, so Matthews and Davis provide a couple cheap options for exposure to a solid mid-140s over/under.
Filip Rebraca, IOWA (F, 5100) – The Badgers aren’t giving up many three-point attempts, rather forcing the action inside the arc. If Murray’s YOLO price tag is too rich for you in a tough road environment, then you can look at Rebraca. He should have some defensive rebounding and block upside. Shot attempts have increase lately as well and coming off 5x vs Maryland, so you can look at him in tournaments.
Abou Ousmane, UNT (F, 5000) – Everyone North Texas plays is trying to pace them up as they prefer to play at a snails tempo (357th). Rice (94th in tempo) wanted to push pace, as will UAB (102nd) tonight. It didn’t work so well for Rice losing by 32. In that game Abou had 30 DK. His 27% shot share is second on the team. He’s a the only playable option from this game IMO, due to the slate’s lowest O/U.
Andrej Jakimovski, WSU (F, 4300) – More minutes for Andrej of late and he’s produced 5x/8x over those two games. Wazzou is top 40 in bench minutes, especially at the post with Abogidi, Rodman, Jackson, etc. playing the 4/5 down low, but he’s shown some GPP upside if he can get the minutes.
Prize Picks
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Kenneth Lofton Jr
OVER 33.2 fantasy points
Lofton is capable of doing this in a half. Nothing scary about the matchup. Lofton has 34% usage and 31% shot share. In addition, he’s an elite rebounder. UTEP giving up 53% from 2.
– Joe (21-19-5)
Keegan Murray
UNDER 43.7 fantasy points
Always scary to take the under against a guy that just dropped 35 real points, but Wisconsin will try to limit possessions and he’s been slowed a bit against better competition this season. Give me the UNDER 43.7 fantasy points for Keegan tonight.
– Byrd (27-17-1)
BUCKETHEAD BONUS (23-17-2)
Jonathan Davis
OVER 39.1 fantasy points
He averages a little over that on the season. Wisconsin hosts Iowa, so pace-up game for him against a defense that sits at the bottom of the B1G. Went completely nuclear in West Lafayette his last game. I’m betting he doesn’t come back to Earth quite yet.