Small little 6-games tonight that tips late (7:00c) and runs through the late evening. The PAC 12 will be bringing their usual Thursday heat with half of the games on the slate being from the Conference of Champions. Two B1G tilts and a Gonzaga blowout make up the rest of the docket! Last night’s slate was a rough one, but our DraftKings content was fire as usual. Expect more of the same tonight!
Speaking of fire content, a week ago we were apologizing for a rough Prize Picks stretch. Last night we hit our 3rd perfect 5x evening in our last 4 tries. Saturday, Tuesday, Wednesday were all 3-0 (with a 2-1 on Monday) made us smile, but also served as a reminder of what rollercoaster PP can be. We have got three more selections teed up for you at the bottom of our piece! Do we stay hot?
1/26/22
| Game | Time | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU @ MINN | 7:00 | OSU -6.5 | 138.5 |
| PUR @ IOWA | 8:00 | PUR -2.5 | 158.5 |
| CAL @ UCLA | 8:00 | UCLA -16.5 | 128.5 |
| LYM @ GONZ | 10:00 | GONZ -27.5 | 158.5 |
| STAN @ USC | 10:00 | USC -11.5 | 140.5 |
| COL @ UW | 10:00 | COL -2.5 | 137.5 |
GUARDS WE LIKE
Terrell Brown Jr., UW (G, 9200) – I still can’t get used to seeing TBJ at this price point, but he plays all the minutes with top 30 shot share, top 80 assist rates, and top 50 steal rates. He scored 36 DK at Colorado earlier this year and plenty of meat on the bone in that effort, going 4-16 from the field. He’s got legit 40 DK upside as an extreme usage option on a bad team.
Jaden Ivey, PUR (G, 8500) – Ivey is at max price which is unfortunate because this is a great matchup for him in what should be a high scoring game. He hasn’t hit 5x at this price since November, so wouldn’t blame anyone for fading him in tournaments. Had 19 real points last time, and Iowa does foul a lot, so a chance for him to rack up points at the line.
Payton Willis, MINN (G, 7800) – When Willis goes into pure flamethrower mode, he’s one of the best values in all of DFS. Look, there’s a lot to consider here, and a lot of variables we won’t know until tip. Namely, the status of Jamison Battle. If Battle can go, he should be targeted and has a nice matchup, especially with Curry still unlikely to return. If not, then Willis could be in smash territory once again and Stephens should also be targeted.
Jamie Jaquez Jr., UCLA (G/F, 7400) – His price is inching back up, but I do prefer him for $300 less than Juzang because he’s more than just a scorer. UCLA only took 31 shots in their 60-52 win vs. Cal earlier this year, but should be able to control pace a bit better at home. JJJ is more of a cash option tonight, but I think he approaches 30 DK like he has the last 2 games.
Drew Peterson, USC (G, 6900) – Peterson is a long wing who can fill up the stat sheet a variety of ways. He’s starting to show signs as the secondary producer for this offense as well, with over 30 DK efforts in 3 of his last 5 games. Stanford is 257th in effective FG% defense and give up a lot of looks behind the arc, so maybe the 44% 3-point shooter can knock down a few buckets and hit another 30 DK tonight. Unfortunately, his ceiling is capped a bit at his season high price point. Chevez Goodwin would probably be a better GPP target at $6600 given his higher upside, albeit with much more risk as well.
Julian Strawther, GONZ (G, 6700) – He’s been quiet of late so his price is down $1300 to a 2022 low point. I think he has a good chance to have a nice night in this soft match-up versus the Lions. Bolton (G, 4800) is another Zag with some intrigue but I like him more in a GPP format.
Tyger Campbell, UCLA (G, 6100) – Had 17 real points at Cal in early Jan. and he’ll play all game. Another 4x type option in a lower scoring environment, but at least he’s at home and Kenpom projects UCLA to score in the low 70s, which would be a significant improvement on the 60 they scored at Cal. If you want to get real weird, Payton Watson is min price; the 5-star guard/forward has seen 15+ min in 4 of his last 5 games.
Kwane Marble, LYM (G, 4400) – Inserted as a starter when Dameane Douglas went down three games ago and had some initial success. Might be losing floor time to Anderson (below), but for his price Marble could be a solid cash option tonight in this lopsided affair.
Jordan Bohannon, IOWA (G, 4200) – Old age might be catching up with Mr. Bohannon. This season has been pretty lackluster so far, in spite of his name showing up in our articles semi-frequently. Purdue is giving up 38% of opponent’s points from 3, so he should get open looks. Beyond that, he is probably at a career-low price, which makes him a much safer play at this point. Let’s see if the old man can give us one more burner!
Jalin Anderson, LYM (G, 3200) – The 6-3 sophomore backs up the 1 and 2. He has a 26.8% shot share in 6 games played this year so not a bad punt option. Anderson played 28 minutes last game and got up 9 shots last time out when the Lions were routed by Saint Mary’s.
FORWARDS WE LIKE
Keegan Murray, IOWA (F, 9500) – Missed this matchup earlier in the season so it’ll be interesting to see how he deals with the frontcourt tandem of Edey and Williams. Foul trouble will be a concern, but he’s averaging 45 DK at home so hard to count him out. I would only play him in tournaments however as Purdue has absolutely crushed opposing bigs this season. You can also play his brother Kris in GPP, if Keegan gets iced, Kris can take on the scoring load, especially from the perimeter.
Isaiah Mobley, USC (F, 9400) – I’m horrible trying to guess the ownership game, but I think people will either pay $100 more for Murray or drop down to Chet/Liddell for less, so Mobley could be a lower owned spend up option. He averages 38 DK at home and dropped 37.8 on the road against Stanford earlier this year, so a 40 DK bounce back effort seems in the range of possibilities for the USC big man tonight.
Chet Holmgren, GONZ (F, 9100) – In smash games Gonzaga is hard to play. Starters get 25 minutes still and help build the big lead. This makes them good cash options, but limits GPP upside. Loyola Marymount is a small team with no regulars over 6’6 hence they are 298th in block % and 286th in 2PT FG% against. Give me Chet of the high priced Zags options.
EJ Liddell, OSU (F, 9000) – The Buckeyes haven’t played in nearly 10 days, but this is a juicy matchup for Liddell. The Gopher frontcourt is depleted and not very good anyway. The KenPom #3 player in the country should be in line for a big one.
Jabari Walker, COL (F, 8300) – Finally cracked 40 DK last game, which is the first time he’s done that all season. That said, he’s got a really high floor as an elite rebounder against a UW team that gets murdered on the offensive glass. He’s priced at a season high price point, so I think he’s got another 4x in store on the road against a team he dropped 11 points and 13 boards on earlier this year.
Trevion Williams, PUR (F, 7900) – Edey played a relatively quiet 16 minutes against Iowa earlier this season while Trevion yanked down 18 boards. Keep in mind, Iowa was missing Keegan Murray that game. Edey has since emerged as the more consistent and dominant big. However, the pace may still favor Williams who is also deadly on the road (+5 DK). I’ll give Williams a small edge in tournaments.
Andre Kelly, CAL (F, 7100) – Kelly probably has the highest upside of the Cal attack. He dropped 30 DK on UCLA at home earlier this year and his price is slightly down over the last few weeks. I’m not going out of my way to play any Golden Bears in a game they are projected for 56 points, but Kelly is probably the best bet if you are really itching to play someone from Cal-Berkeley.
Anton Watson, GONZ (F, 6200) – Watson has smashed lesser opponents throughout his Gonzaga career. Tonight with the Bulldogs as 27.5 point favorites, Watson should be in line for a couple extra minutes and could flirt with a double-double. The price is steep for a reserve, but the game environment is perfect.
Zed Key, OSU (F, 5000) – Minnesota had major frontcourt defensive issues with a full roster, let alone one that is missing their veteran center. Great matchup for Key, should have big rebounding and defensive upside to go along with some scoring punch.
Jaiden Delaire, STAN (F, 4800) – Hate the Stanford pricing today, so let’s get that out of the way. Ingram dropped 41.5 DK on USC earlier this year, but he’s scoring 9 DK points less per game on the road and his price is dumb. Delaire leads the team in shot share, so maybe he can get hot at a lower price point? Stanford plays top 35 bench minutes and given their pricing, no one stands out as a particularly great play on the road vs. USCs #6 effective FG% defense.
Tristan da Silva, COL (F, 4400) – The Buffs have a bunch of fringe options between Battey, Barthelemy, Simpson and da Silva, but I’ll lean da Silva due to his minutes played of late and cheap price point. He also dropped 35 DK on UW in their first meeting, so maybe he can recreate some magic again tonight at a cheap price point.
Mason Gillis, PUR (F, 4300) – Gillis is at his lowest price in a month. He can be on or off which definitely makes him a better GPP target. 5x in 3 of last 5 and close to 5x last time against Iowa. Getting a healthy minute share, so not a bad low cost option.
Cody Riley, UCLA (F, 4100) – His cheap price is keeping Riley somewhat DFS relevant. Should play 20-25 minutes tonight and has 20 DK potential against a Cal team that doesn’t crash the offensive glass much (267th in OReb%).
Kobe Johnson, USC (F, 3000) – Not quite ready to pull the trigger on Johnson yet, but let’s keep an eye on his minutes moving forward. He played almost 20 minutes against ASU last time out, dropping 18 DK points. He’s the brother of NBA lottery pick Jalen Johnson and has great vision for a 6’6 freshmen so I’m intrigued to see how Enfield will use him moving forward.
Treyton Thompson, MINN (F, 3000) – Played 40 minutes against Rutgers in Curry’s absence. He may split some time with Daniels since Battle will likely return at the 4-spot, but Thompson should play the bigger share.
Prize Picks
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Julian Strawther
OVER 22.4 fantasy points
Strawther has been in a bit of a funk the last two games offensively and is due for a breakout. I am playing total fantasy score because Loyola Marymount is incredibly sloppy with the basketball (342nd TO%). This adds steal upside on top of his 13-6-1 traditional stat line. Strawther goes OVER 22.4.
– Joe (27-26-6)
Trevion Williams
OVER 21.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
He smashed against Iowa last game, albeit without Keegan, but I like his ability to score, rebound, and pass against Iowa’s pace-up attack. He’s had some turnover issues and hasn’t had a block/steal in 4 games, so I’m taking the OVER 21.5 points, rebounds, and assists rather than fantasy score tonight for Big Trev.
– Byrd (33-25-1)
BUCKETHEAD BONUS (30-24-2)
Zed Key
OVER 19.3 fantasy points
The Gophers have had an abysmal front court defense this season, ranked at or near the bottom of the B1G in 2pt FG% and rebounding. They also give up a ton of blocked shots. With Curry likely out and possibly Battle, it gets even dicier. Key should be able to capitalize on the mismatch here.