Happy Friday Bucketheads!! We’ve got a light slate on tap tonight as we head into the weekend. We’ve got two B1G matchups, including a DFS flamethrower to end the night. SLU and Richmond will battle in a solid A-10 matchup while Troy will look to improve seeding against Texas St., who has already wrapped up the regular season Sun Belt crown. As always, we’ve dug into the key plays and storylines to help you as you build your winning DFS lineups. Best of luck tonight Bucketheads!! Let’s see some green screens tonight!!
Looking ahead, Joe and I plan on recording a pod tonight to break down the Saturday morning feature slate. Unfortunately, that might be the last content we’ll have for a little while. Joe and his extended family head to Mexico next week to enjoy some well-deserved beach time. With a full-time job, 3 kids, and volleyball regionals next week, it’s very unlikely I’ll be able to deliver the high quality content you expect from @cbb_dfs on my own. We’ll use next week to refresh and come back revitalized and ready to dominate conference tourneys and bring the absolute heat throughout March Madness. The best time of year is right around the corner Bucketheads!!
2/25/22
| Game | Time | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NW @ PSU | 6:00 | PSU -1.5 | 128.5 |
| STL @ RICH | 6:00 | RICH -2.5 | 143.5 |
| TXST @ TROY | 8:00 | TXST -1.5 | 129.5 |
| IOWA @ NEB | 8:00 | IOWA -11.5 | 161.5 |
GUARDS WE LIKE
Yuri Collins, STL (G, 8000)– On a small slate you have to be smart on where you spend. Current form isn’t the best for Collins (less than 3x in 3 of 4), but his is more than capable. In the first meeting he had 24-6-8 and he is still 2nd in the nation in assist rate. While everyone tries to stack up the Iowa Nebraska game (rightfully so) Collins could quietly smash.
Jalen Pickett, PSU (G/F, 7700) – Pickett should be the safest play on the entire slate if you plan on playing any cash lineups tonight. He still has some GPP value as well, even though he hasn’t shown much of a ceiling this year. He will play every minute and dominate the ball. Lundy is a better choice for tournaments for a bit cheaper. He had 23 real points at Welsh-Ryan 6 weeks ago.
Bryce McGowens, NEB (G, 7400) – Coach Hoiberg took a big pay cut yesterday but it wasn’t for landing this kid. The former 5-star has been the lone bright spot on this Cornhuskers team. Not a great game in Iowa City but 30+ DK in two games since. Horrible shooting streak lately, let’s turn it around tonight! Verge in play as always, matchup nothing to write home about but he can flash.
Boo Buie, NW (G, 6900) – Buie is fairly priced right now but did have one of his best games of the season against Penn St back in early January, going 5x. Penn St packs it in on defense opening up 3pt shooters, Buie went 5-8 from 3 in that game and is the team’s best shooter, so should have opportunity once again. Way more of a gamble, but you can also pivot down to Ty Berry for way cheaper. He’s the second best shooter on the team at 39%.
Payton Sandfort, IOWA (G, 4200) – This is a complete moonshot and only here because we need filler content, but he did go 12 and 8 in the first game against Nebraska. He could also only play 1 minute like he did two games ago, so it’s a crapshoot. Since blowout conditions are present, seems like he could log a few minutes.
FORWARDS WE LIKE
Keegan Murray, IOWA (F, 9900) – Not sure you need our help here, but yeah… Went nearly 6x against the Cornhuskers a couple weeks ago in Iowa City, even at this ridiculous price. Obviously Kris in play too. If you’ve been dying to stack the Murray and McCaffery bros all season, you could probably do it in this game ?♂️
Tyler Burton, RICH (F, 7900) – Burton is this Richmond’s Jamie Tartt, while Gilyard (G, 8300) is more of a Roy Kent type. Since this is DFS give me the younger flashy scorer over the consistent pass first veteran. Game environment is right for all the Greyhounds… err… Spiders, especially at home.
John Harrar, PSU (F, 7100) – Harrar has been outstanding since Greg Lee went out, with three straight double-doubles. Unfortunately, he’s at peak price (maybe ever). However, this is a great matchup for him at home. The Wildcats are an average rebounding team for starters. They’re also the worst fouling teams in the league. Harrar draws 4.7 fouls/40 and will even have a bit of defensive upside, so on the small slate, he’s a solid play.
Grant Golden, RICH (F, 7200) – Golden is top 5 in the A10 in usage, shot rate, and defensive rebounding percentage. When he is crashing the glass he has 5-6x upside. Not big on ancillary production, Golden hasn’t recorded a steal or block in the past four games, but tonight in a marquee A10 matchup he’ll need to be at his best.
Isiah Small, TXST (F, 6700) – Low over/under here as the Bobcats prowl at the 337th tempo in the nation. The use a balanced offensive approach with 4 of the 5 starters falling between 20-25% shot share. Small is the 6’8 swiss army knife for the Bobcat attack. He can guard 4 positions effectively, is their best rebounder, and has increased shot share in conference play. He also dropped 34 DK against Troy earlier in the year. Caleb Asberry (G, 6200) is the Bobcats leading scorer, so he’s an option too, although he hasn’t shown much ceiling over his last 10 games.
Derrick Walker, NEB (F, 6100) – I’m sort of a fan of Walker, not nearly as much as DK apparently. This guy has been overpriced all season long. Nice matchup here against a soft Iowa interior D (Filip). He had 14 and 6 in the first meeting.
Efe Odigie, TROY (F, 5900) – The former Fresno St. and UTEP big man leads the team in shot share and is their best rebounder. He may be in the doghouse a bit, as he’s seen less minutes of late and came off the bench last game for only the 3rd time this season. Add in the fact that Texas St. plays slow and Troy has the #1 bench minutes in the entire nation and it’s a little dicey, but Odigie has GPP upside when he gets the minutes. Worth noting that Duke Miles (G, 3700) has been out with a concussion and per an article from Jon Johnson of the Dothan Eagle on Tuesday, he is not expected to play this week. He doesn’t have a Q tag on DK but hasn’t played since Feb. 5th.
Fred Thatch Jr., STL (F, 5300) – The Billikens backcourt has not been in good fantasy form of late, but Thatch and Okoro have been steady. Okoro got priced up 1500 from the last time we saw him on a slate. I don’t mind him in cash, but think Thatch has a little more GPP pop given the price difference.
Prize Picks
We have our PricePicks listed below for your consumption! If you are new to the game, don’t forget to use promo code CBBDFS for 100% deposit bonus. It helps us out a ton for notoriety and is a nice way to send some love!
If you already have PrizePicks there is also a donate option at the end of this thread. This is also another good way to show us some love for the free content! #antipaywall #keepcbbdfsfree
Yuri Collins
OVER 22.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
Yuri is second in the nation in assist rate. He had 24-6-8 in the first meeting which by my math is 38 PRA. Form isn’t the best but stakes are high in this match-up of two upper tier A10 squads. I like Collins to go OVER 22.5 PRA tonight.
– Joe (44-33-6)
Derrick Walker
OVER 16.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
Slim pickens tonight, so I’ll target the game that will likely have the most possessions. Walker is an excellent offensive rebounder and had 21 PRA against Iowa 11 days ago. Give me the OVER again tonight.
– Byrd (46-36-1)
BUCKETHEAD BONUS (44-34-2)
Keegan Murray
OVER 43.2 Fantasy Score
He got most of this in points (37) the first time around. Plus he added 15 FP in blocks and steals. I actually don’t mind that this game is on the road, as it could guarantee more playing time if the Cornhuskers can stay within striking distance.