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Okay, it’s not our normal pod, or a YouTube hit, but with the Valentine’s Day weekend upon us we thought we’d take one off and show gratitude to the people in our lives that allow us to run @cbb_dfs for six months out of the year. Without their support there would be no cbb-dfs.com, no Shoot-Around Pods, or no Bucketheads. This weekend we give to them:
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That being said… we are not completely gone, as Byrd, James and I thought we had to give the Bucketheads something! So here we go – in post format – the triumphant return of CVGB. For those of you that are new to the brand CVGB is something we did regularly in the first few years and its an exercise where the three of us each give you a cash, value, GPP, and bust play in advance of a big slate. The categories are defined as follows:
- CASH – A safe, high floor play that we think will hit 4x value. A player that is $5,000 goes for 20 DK points = 4x value.
- VALUE – Someone that is under $5,000 that we think will exceed 4x value giving you pricing relief in your line-ups.
- GPP – This one is by far the hardest to project, but it is someone we feel will exceed 5x value. So the $5,000 guy gets 25 or more DK.
- BUST – Quite simple this is some that we think will come in under 4x. We try not to take the easy way out with injury issues either.
So below you will have our 12 plays (3 each) in the CVGB for the Saturday Morning Shoot-Around tipping at 11a CST. Winner of this tourney take home $5K and we hope our content helps you in your line-up contraction so you can win all the money!
PS – Prize Picks included at the end of post, like always! Remember to use promo code CBBDFS when signing up to help your boys here and get a 100% deposit match!
PSS – Since it is the weekend of love, we do have a donate link on the site and as a pinned tweet on twitter @cbb_dfs if you LOVE us. #shamelessplug
CASH – A safe, high floor play that we think will hit 4x value. A player that is $5,000 goes for 20 DK points = 4x value.
James – Aaron Henry (F, 8200): 47 DK @Iowa 10 days ago; hit value 6 of last 10 games. He can fill up the stat line.
Byrd – Courtney Ramey (G, 6300): Price is back down and he’s scored double digits in every game but one this season, creating a high floor. He’s has at least 23 DK points in 7 of his last 8, so form is good as well and he’s at home.
Joe – Marcus Bingham Jr. (F, 4200): His minutes have increased in his last 4, and Sparty is just better when he is one the floor. MSU fans have been begging to see more of him and lately are getting their wish. Rare talent. 5x in his last two, should be safe cash option.
VALUE – Some one that is under $5,000 that we think will exceed 4x value giving you pricing relief in your line-ups.
James – Christian Koloko (F, 4900): At 7’1, he’ll have a marked size advantage over the smaller front line of Oregon. He’s the best rebounder and shot-blocker on the team percentage-wise. Hit 4x in 4 of last 8 games.
Byrd – Garrett Sturtz (G, 4600): Drake received devastating news with the loss of Shanquan Hemphill for the next month. Sturtz should start and has been productive this year when getting 20+ minutes. Sturtz has a 130 offensive rating (that’s really high), good rebounding metrics, and some steal upside.
Joe – Tyler Polley (F, 3900): Only needs 15.8 to hit value and Bouknight is still out, while Tyrese Martin is dealing with an ankle. The Huskies needs Polley’s offense in this one, and the shots are going up regardless. Oddly, Polley has a better road splits and UConn is at Xavier in this one.
GPP – This one is by far the hardest to project, but it is someone we feel will exceed 5x value. So the $5,000 guy gets 25 or more DK.
James – Joey Hauser (F, 4700): Lowest price of the season against the league’s worst defense in a pace-up game, 29 DK last time.
Byrd – Keon Johnson (G/F, 5200): While Jaden Springer is the freshman everyone is talking about recently for the Vols, Keon has shown similar upside at a much cheaper price point. Add in the pace-up game and this is a good spot for Johnson to excel.
Joe – Isaiah Jackson (F, 5100): This just feels like an Isaiah Jackson game. Auburn plays fast and at times sloppy. With elite athletes on both sides Jackson may be the most gifted of them all. I expect multiple rebounds, blocks, steals, and dunks. Has hit 7x twice since 1/12/21.
BUST – Quite simple this is some that we think will come in under 4x. We try not to take the easy way out with injury issues either.
James – Sharife Cooper (G, 9000): Worst game of his short career was against UK last month at home (26 DK). Kentucky solid defensively (#2 Effective FG% defensively).
Byrd – Armaan Franklin (G, 7000): Franklin is coming off a massive game against Northwestern, resulting in a $1000 price bump. He hadn’t hit 4x at this price in 6 of 7 games prior to that.
Joe – Joe Wisekamp (G/F, 7500): Great player, but way better at home. Only had 10.75 DK in first meeting. Unlikely he hits 30 DK drawing Aaron Henry’s D-sticks in East Lansing.
Prize Picks – 2/14/21
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Indiana
TJD is a heck of a player, but Ohio St. is top 70 in 2 point FG defense, keeps teams off the offensive glass, and held Garza to 16 points/7 boards earlier this year, so they know how to defend down low. Give me the UNDER 33.0.
-Byrd
Scotty Pippen Jr.
Vanderbilt
4th highest usage in the NATION and a 32% shot share. Pip Jr. had 18 points and 12 assists against them last time, so he goes OVER the 30.8 tonight.
– Jame
DJ Stewart
Mississippi State
Staying in the same game as James, but taking the lead dog on the other side. Stewart plays the most minutes in the SEC and has a 29% shot share. He also brings steal upside, which Prize Picks likes, having 2 or more in 4-of-his-last-6 including games with 5 and 4 steals in that span. Also… Vanderbilt stinks.
– Joe